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CCJ

−10.9% 锁定以来(持仓同向) · 最新收盘价 87.12(10月8日) · 最高收盘 107.36 · 最低收盘 85.18 · 锁定至今 57 天

四个版面对同一标的的全部所知,汇于一页。

已锁定谱系
MERGED · Ethan · 已了结 2027-03-31
Uranium fuel cycle, upstream of the fleet. The arbiter split: net C$25M, adjusted net C$77M, adjusted EBITDA C$391M - down y/y on planned volumes and Westinghouse equity - but average realized prices in uranium and fuel services improved , which is the line the super-cycle claim rests on. Cigar Lake's July suspension (McClean Lake acid unit; Orano restarted in ~12 days) underlined how tight the supply side runs.

+5.0% 锁定以来(持仓同向) · 最新收盘价 97.75(8月13日) · 最高收盘 99.03 · 最低收盘 93.62 · 锁定至今 9 天 · 窗口止于 8月13日

已于 2026-08-04 封存,并已走完裁定 —— 下文即当日冻结的原文;封存之后未作任何改动。
成立条件:Average realized uranium price does not decline y/y at a quarterly print, OR term-contracting volume does not stall — through the deadline.
证伪条件:average realized uranium price declines y/y at a quarterly print AND term-contracting volume stalls
驱动因素 Incentivized flow 拟议
核验明细

每枚指纹都是被冻结原文的 SHA-256 摘要 —— 摘要相符,即证明你所读的文字就是封存时的文字。

主张指纹(thesis_hash)c2138a62f9146640…证伪条件指纹(falsifier_hash)27e775a021f8f1c5…成立检验指纹(predicate_hash)27299be4fafa518a…外部存证回执 manual_operator · 摘要 488bae62a48edc62… · received
LOCKED · Ethan · 裁定截止 2027年3月 · 173 天后
Uranium, upstream of the fleet. Every reactor the grid is leaning on buys fuel on a contracting cycle measured in years, and the supply side keeps demonstrating how little slack it carries: this summer one acid unit went down at the mill that processes Cigar Lake's ore, and the uranium market tightened on the news — the outage lasted roughly twelve days, and twelve days was enough to make the point. Cameco sits at the producing end of that fragile supply, Cigar Lake among its assets, sells fuel services alongside the pounds, and carries an equity stake in Westinghouse — positioned in the mine, the fuel and the reactor layers of one cycle, selling on long-dated contracts to utilities that cannot not buy. The tell in the last print: volumes were lower by plan and reported earnings came down with them, while average realized prices in uranium and fuel services improved — because the scarcity that matters lives in long-dated obligations, not spot headlines, and realized price is where it shows. The expression is the common. The kill takes both halves at once: a quarterly print showing realized prices down year over year AND term contracting stalling. Either alone is weather; together they are the cycle ending. Verdict due March 31, 2027.

−10.9% 锁定以来(持仓同向) · 最新收盘价 87.12(10月8日) · 最高收盘 107.36 · 最低收盘 85.18 · 锁定至今 57 天

已于 2026-08-13 封存 —— 主张本身、何以致败、何以成立,均凭外部回执冻结。此处任何内容都无法被悄然改动。
成立条件:Average realized uranium price does not decline y/y at a quarterly print, OR term-contracting volume does not stall — through the deadline.
证伪条件:average realized uranium price declines y/y at a quarterly print AND term-contracting volume stalls
驱动因素 Forced flow 拟议 Information update 拟议
核验明细

每枚指纹都是被冻结原文的 SHA-256 摘要 —— 摘要相符,即证明你所读的文字就是封存时的文字。

主张指纹(thesis_hash)0dad4fcb472a311d…证伪条件指纹(falsifier_hash)e3faecacfd542a61…成立检验指纹(predicate_hash)18732d7c6b8315e3…外部存证回执 manual_operator · 摘要 d0915b52c985f936… · received
交叉质证

成员可对已锁定谱系提交反证;台内须在期限前公开作答 —— 无论作答与否,该期限都在此呈现。

尚无成员对此标的的已锁定谱系提交反证。质证席已开放:在 Slack 中使用 `/thesis challenge CCJ <你的反证>`。

COUNTER-EVIDENCE ≠ GRADE — a challenge never grades the thesis and never moves a score; it puts the desk on a public clock. —— 反证不等于评级:一次质疑绝不为论点评级、绝不移动分数;它只是使本台进入公开计时。
版次评估
版次评估

全场在各封存版次中评定的是命题 —— 而非某位成员。

2026-07-25 · MIXED 事后补录 版次哈希 5ac949a40d51396556dd73a5…
2026-08-01 · MIXED 事后补录 版次哈希 11a8fa4cad4120f7ad61f7af…
2026-08-08 · CARRY 事后补录 勘误:更正较早记录 版次哈希 cjson-v1:29b5145ba5f2f06…
2026-08-08 · NO TEST 事后补录 已被勘误取代 —— founder ruling D1 2026-09-20: standing thesis with no dated test grades CARRY 版次哈希 cjson-v1:29b5145ba5f2f06…
2026-08-22 · CARRY 事后补录 勘误:更正较早记录 版次哈希 557bf5ef55f5d1fb8c7a88bf…
2026-08-22 · NO TEST 事后补录 已被勘误取代 —— founder ruling D1 2026-09-20: standing thesis with no dated test grades CARRY 版次哈希 557bf5ef55f5d1fb8c7a88bf…
2026-08-29 · NO TEST 事后补录 已被勘误取代 —— founder ruling D1 2026-09-20: standing thesis with no dated test grades CARRY 版次哈希 15bd0390467e559c74c076f3…
2026-08-29 · CARRY 事后补录 勘误:更正较早记录 版次哈希 15bd0390467e559c74c076f3…
2026-09-05 · CARRY 事后补录 勘误:更正较早记录 版次哈希 3ad7e3fa56cf10ecb514d9f1…
2026-09-05 · NO TEST 事后补录 已被勘误取代 —— founder ruling D1 2026-09-20: standing thesis with no dated test grades CARRY 版次哈希 3ad7e3fa56cf10ecb514d9f1…
2026-09-12 · CARRY 事后补录 版次哈希 6271a4889f18e60066663572…
2026-09-19 · CARRY 事后补录 版次哈希 4f554e02dd2769ad9cd297aa…
2026-10-03 · CARRY 事后补录 版次哈希 6cbb3f12f574ec962d2274d6…
本周 · 0 项事件

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即将到来
10月30日 · 财报 — 背景参考,而非证据
到期裁定日 · 裁定截止 2027年3月 · 173 天后

预定发布的数据仅是背景,绝非证据 —— 此处一切均不为论点评级。

仲裁事件
仲裁事件deadline verdict: realized-price / term-contracting check · 2027-03-31 · CCJ quarterly earnings print (realized price + contracting volume disclosures) · average realized uranium price declines y/y at a quarterly print AND term-contracting volume stalls · 0/2deadline verdict: realized-price / term-contracting check · 2027-03-31 · CCJ quarterly earnings print (realized price + contracting volume disclosures) · average realized uranium price declines y/y at a quarterly print AND term-contracting volume stalls · 0/2
最新行情
最新行情
9月30日 · 新闻稿 · Cameco Acknowledges United States and Republic of Korea Announcement of…

预定发布的数据仅是背景,绝非证据 —— 此处一切均不为论点评级。

行情
行情

−0.84% 自入册以来 · 2026-07-24 → 2026-10-08

2026-10-08 · 87.12

19/47 个交易日有持仓方向 — 同向性,而非裁断。

最新交易日 −0.1CCJ · 2026-09-25
收盘 -0.06% — 与持仓反向
持仓方向:LONG,自 2026-08-13 起
2026-10-03 所在周的期号 —— 已封存
仅为行情同向性记录。 TAPE ≠ VERDICT —— 行情不等于裁定.
−1.2CCJ · 2026-09-28
收盘 -1.17% — 与持仓反向
持仓方向:LONG,自 2026-08-13 起
2026-10-03 所在周的期号 —— 已封存
仅为行情同向性记录。 TAPE ≠ VERDICT —— 行情不等于裁定.
−0.2CCJ · 2026-09-29
收盘 -0.18% — 与持仓反向
持仓方向:LONG,自 2026-08-13 起
2026-10-03 所在周的期号 —— 已封存
仅为行情同向性记录。 TAPE ≠ VERDICT —— 行情不等于裁定.
−0.2CCJ · 2026-09-30
收盘 -0.24% — 与持仓反向
持仓方向:LONG,自 2026-08-13 起
2026-10-03 所在周的期号 —— 已封存
仅为行情同向性记录。 TAPE ≠ VERDICT —— 行情不等于裁定.
−1.1CCJ · 2026-10-01
收盘 -1.13% — 与持仓反向
持仓方向:LONG,自 2026-08-13 起
2026-10-03 所在周的期号 —— 已封存
仅为行情同向性记录。 TAPE ≠ VERDICT —— 行情不等于裁定.
−0.6CCJ · 2026-10-02
收盘 -0.60% — 与持仓反向
持仓方向:LONG,自 2026-08-13 起
2026-10-03 所在周的期号 —— 已封存
仅为行情同向性记录。 TAPE ≠ VERDICT —— 行情不等于裁定.
+2.7CCJ · 2026-10-05
收盘 2.69% — 与持仓同向
持仓方向:LONG,自 2026-08-13 起
仅为行情同向性记录。 TAPE ≠ VERDICT —— 行情不等于裁定.
+6.3CCJ · 2026-10-06
收盘 6.35% — 与持仓同向
持仓方向:LONG,自 2026-08-13 起
仅为行情同向性记录。 TAPE ≠ VERDICT —— 行情不等于裁定.
−4.2CCJ · 2026-10-07
收盘 -4.25% — 与持仓反向
持仓方向:LONG,自 2026-08-13 起
仅为行情同向性记录。 TAPE ≠ VERDICT —— 行情不等于裁定.
−2.2CCJ · 2026-10-08
收盘 -2.19% — 与持仓反向
持仓方向:LONG,自 2026-08-13 起
仅为行情同向性记录。 TAPE ≠ VERDICT —— 行情不等于裁定.

每日收盘至收盘回报率 · Financial Modeling Prep 日终收盘价,每日自动摄取 · 最新交易日 2026-10-08.

TAPE ≠ VERDICT — tape agreement never grades a proposition and never derives an assessment. —— 行情不等于裁定:行情同向性绝不为命题评级,也绝不由此推导评估。
时间轴泳道
时间轴泳道
MARKETT−21dearnings — context, not evidence
LOCK-DEADLINET−173d须于 2027-03-31 前通过其检验
ARBITERT−173ddeadline verdict: realized-price / term-contracting check · CCJ quarterly earnings print (realized price + contracting volume disclosures)
ARBITERT−173ddeadline verdict: realized-price / term-contracting check · CCJ quarterly earnings print (realized price + contracting volume disclosures)

时间轴上的完整泳道

身份标识
身份标识
规范代码CCJ首现版次2026-07-25名录状态在册
2026-07-25 → 沿用至今 · CCJ seeded from registry canonical_ticker — operator/MCP 2026-08-04 (open window; mechanical derivation, §ONTOLOGY: registry owns symbol history)
分歧
分歧

此标的的编辑层与裁定层之间无分歧。

开放立场栈

见于 0 个开放成员立场栈中的 0 个。

完整记录存于立场栈 — 立场是坐标,绝非建议。