DISCIPLES OF CLAUDE
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Name detail

ODFL

+3.2% called side since lock (price −3.2%) · last close 181.65 (Oct 8) · high close 187.01 · low close 173.00 · 37 days since lock

Everything the four surfaces know about one instrument, on one page.

Locked lineages
LOCKED · Ethan · Verdict due January 2028 · 469 days out
Volume-and-margin short on LTL bellwether, NOT a fuel trade. Cass shipments −4.8% y/y; tonnage declines are the mechanism; GRIs/surcharges are the counter-mechanism to grade against.

+3.2% called side since lock (price −3.2%) · last close 181.65 (Oct 8) · high close 187.01 · low close 173.00 · 37 days since lock

Sealed on 2026-09-02 — the claim, what would kill it, and what counts as success are frozen on an outside receipt. Nothing here can be quietly edited.
Succeeds if: LTL tonnage does not grow year over year for two consecutive quarters with operating ratio flat or better — through the deadline.
Falsified if: Two consecutive quarters of y/y tonnage growth with operating ratio flat or better.
Drivers Information update proposed
Verification details

Each fingerprint is a SHA-256 digest of the exact frozen text — a matching digest means the words you read are the words that were sealed.

Claim fingerprint (thesis_hash)1d88e737ac434182…Falsifier fingerprint (falsifier_hash)06da46a9852f57d0…Success-test fingerprint (predicate_hash)c545fa24611be6cb…Outside custodyreceipt manual_operator · digest 17ff71769001effb… · received
Cross-examination

Members file counter-evidence against a locked lineage; the desk owes a public answer by a deadline that renders here either way.

No member has filed counter-evidence against this name's locked lineages. The floor is open: `/thesis challenge ODFL <your counter-evidence>` from Slack.

COUNTER-EVIDENCE ≠ GRADE — a challenge never grades the thesis and never moves a score; it puts the desk on a public clock.
Edition assessments
Edition assessments

The room graded the proposition in each sealed edition — not a member.

2026-08-29 · NO TEST Backfilled edition hash 15bd0390467e559c74c076f3…
2026-09-05 · CARRY Backfilled erratum correcting an earlier row edition hash 3ad7e3fa56cf10ecb514d9f1…
2026-09-05 · NO TEST Backfilled superseded by erratum — founder ruling D1 2026-09-20: standing thesis with no dated test grades CARRY edition hash 3ad7e3fa56cf10ecb514d9f1…
2026-09-12 · CARRY Backfilled edition hash 6271a4889f18e60066663572…
2026-09-19 · CARRY Backfilled edition hash 4f554e02dd2769ad9cd297aa…
2026-10-03 · CARRY Backfilled edition hash 6cbb3f12f574ec962d2274d6…
This week · 0 events

No recorded events

Explore this week →

Coming up
Oct 28 · Earnings — context, not evidence
Verdict deadline · Verdict due January 2028 · 469 days out

Scheduled prints are context, never evidence — nothing here grades a thesis.

Arbiters
Arbitersdeadline verdict: y/y LTL tonnage sequence against operating ratio at quarterly prints · 2028-01-21 · Old Dominion quarterly earnings releases and monthly operating-metric updates (LTL tons per day y/y, operating ratio, issuer-reported) · Reads FALSIFIED on the second of two consecutive quarters in which reported LTL tons per day rose year over year AND that quarter's operating ratio was flat or lower (better) than the same quarter a year earlier. Reads POSITIVE at the deadline when no such consecutive pair printed. · 0/2
Fresh tape
Fresh tape
Oct 2 · Analyst action · Neutral to Neutral (Susquehanna)

Scheduled prints are context, never evidence — nothing here grades a thesis.

Tape
Tape

−2.9% since added to list · 2026-09-01 → 2026-10-08

2026-10-08 · 181.65

13/26 sessions with call — agreement, not judgment.

Newest sessions +0.9ODFL · 2026-09-25
close -0.93% — with call
called side: SHORT since 2026-09-02
edition week of 2026-10-03 — sealed
Tape agreement only. TAPE ≠ VERDICT.
−2.0ODFL · 2026-09-28
close 2.05% — against call
called side: SHORT since 2026-09-02
edition week of 2026-10-03 — sealed
Tape agreement only. TAPE ≠ VERDICT.
−0.3ODFL · 2026-09-29
close 0.34% — against call
called side: SHORT since 2026-09-02
edition week of 2026-10-03 — sealed
Tape agreement only. TAPE ≠ VERDICT.
+2.0ODFL · 2026-09-30
close -2.04% — with call
called side: SHORT since 2026-09-02
edition week of 2026-10-03 — sealed
Tape agreement only. TAPE ≠ VERDICT.
−2.5ODFL · 2026-10-01
close 2.45% — against call
called side: SHORT since 2026-09-02
edition week of 2026-10-03 — sealed
Tape agreement only. TAPE ≠ VERDICT.
−1.3ODFL · 2026-10-02
close 1.34% — against call
called side: SHORT since 2026-09-02
edition week of 2026-10-03 — sealed
Tape agreement only. TAPE ≠ VERDICT.
+0.6ODFL · 2026-10-05
close -0.61% — with call
called side: SHORT since 2026-09-02
Tape agreement only. TAPE ≠ VERDICT.
+0.8ODFL · 2026-10-06
close -0.75% — with call
called side: SHORT since 2026-09-02
Tape agreement only. TAPE ≠ VERDICT.
+1.4ODFL · 2026-10-07
close -1.35% — with call
called side: SHORT since 2026-09-02
Tape agreement only. TAPE ≠ VERDICT.
−3.4ODFL · 2026-10-08
close 3.44% — against call
called side: SHORT since 2026-09-02
Tape agreement only. TAPE ≠ VERDICT.

Daily close-to-close returns · Financial Modeling Prep end-of-day closes, automated daily ingest · newest session 2026-10-08.

TAPE ≠ VERDICT — tape agreement never grades a proposition and never derives an assessment.
Timeline lane
Timeline lane
MARKETT−19dearnings — context, not evidence
LOCK-DEADLINET−469dmust meet its test by 2028-01-21
ARBITERT−469ddeadline verdict: y/y LTL tonnage sequence against operating ratio at quarterly prints · Old Dominion quarterly earnings releases and monthly operating-metric updates (LTL tons per day y/y, operating ratio, issuer-reported)
MARKET2026-10-02analyst action — Neutral to Neutral (Susquehanna)

Full lane on the time axis

Identity
Identity
Canonical tickerODFLFirst seen edition2026-08-29Registry stateactive
2026-08-29 → open · ODFL opened at registration (lib/watchlist/register.js)
Divergence
Divergence

No divergence between the editorial and resolution layers on this name.

Open stacks

Held in 0 of 0 open member stacks.

The stacks hold the full record — stances are addresses, never advice.