DISCIPLES OF CLAUDE
Watchlist · thesis ledger
←Back to the drivers
Name detail

CCJ

−10.9% called side since lock · last close 87.12 (Oct 8) · high close 107.36 · low close 85.18 · 57 days since lock

Everything the four surfaces know about one instrument, on one page.

Locked lineages
MERGED · Ethan · settled 2027-03-31
Uranium fuel cycle, upstream of the fleet. The arbiter split: net C$25M, adjusted net C$77M, adjusted EBITDA C$391M - down y/y on planned volumes and Westinghouse equity - but average realized prices in uranium and fuel services improved , which is the line the super-cycle claim rests on. Cigar Lake's July suspension (McClean Lake acid unit; Orano restarted in ~12 days) underlined how tight the supply side runs.

+5.0% called side since lock · last close 97.75 (Aug 13) · high close 99.03 · low close 93.62 · 9 days since lock · window closed Aug 13

Sealed on 2026-08-04, and since carried to its verdict — the words below are the words that were frozen; nothing was edited after the seal.
Succeeds if: Average realized uranium price does not decline y/y at a quarterly print, OR term-contracting volume does not stall — through the deadline.
Falsified if: average realized uranium price declines y/y at a quarterly print AND term-contracting volume stalls
Drivers Incentivized flow proposed
Verification details

Each fingerprint is a SHA-256 digest of the exact frozen text — a matching digest means the words you read are the words that were sealed.

Claim fingerprint (thesis_hash)c2138a62f9146640…Falsifier fingerprint (falsifier_hash)27e775a021f8f1c5…Success-test fingerprint (predicate_hash)27299be4fafa518a…Outside custodyreceipt manual_operator · digest 488bae62a48edc62… · received
LOCKED · Ethan · Verdict due March 2027 · 173 days out
Uranium, upstream of the fleet. Every reactor the grid is leaning on buys fuel on a contracting cycle measured in years, and the supply side keeps demonstrating how little slack it carries: this summer one acid unit went down at the mill that processes Cigar Lake's ore, and the uranium market tightened on the news — the outage lasted roughly twelve days, and twelve days was enough to make the point. Cameco sits at the producing end of that fragile supply, Cigar Lake among its assets, sells fuel services alongside the pounds, and carries an equity stake in Westinghouse — positioned in the mine, the fuel and the reactor layers of one cycle, selling on long-dated contracts to utilities that cannot not buy. The tell in the last print: volumes were lower by plan and reported earnings came down with them, while average realized prices in uranium and fuel services improved — because the scarcity that matters lives in long-dated obligations, not spot headlines, and realized price is where it shows. The expression is the common. The kill takes both halves at once: a quarterly print showing realized prices down year over year AND term contracting stalling. Either alone is weather; together they are the cycle ending. Verdict due March 31, 2027.

−10.9% called side since lock · last close 87.12 (Oct 8) · high close 107.36 · low close 85.18 · 57 days since lock

Sealed on 2026-08-13 — the claim, what would kill it, and what counts as success are frozen on an outside receipt. Nothing here can be quietly edited.
Succeeds if: Average realized uranium price does not decline y/y at a quarterly print, OR term-contracting volume does not stall — through the deadline.
Falsified if: average realized uranium price declines y/y at a quarterly print AND term-contracting volume stalls
Drivers Forced flow proposed Information update proposed
Verification details

Each fingerprint is a SHA-256 digest of the exact frozen text — a matching digest means the words you read are the words that were sealed.

Claim fingerprint (thesis_hash)0dad4fcb472a311d…Falsifier fingerprint (falsifier_hash)e3faecacfd542a61…Success-test fingerprint (predicate_hash)18732d7c6b8315e3…Outside custodyreceipt manual_operator · digest d0915b52c985f936… · received
Cross-examination

Members file counter-evidence against a locked lineage; the desk owes a public answer by a deadline that renders here either way.

No member has filed counter-evidence against this name's locked lineages. The floor is open: `/thesis challenge CCJ <your counter-evidence>` from Slack.

COUNTER-EVIDENCE ≠ GRADE — a challenge never grades the thesis and never moves a score; it puts the desk on a public clock.
Edition assessments
Edition assessments

The room graded the proposition in each sealed edition — not a member.

2026-07-25 · MIXED Backfilled edition hash 5ac949a40d51396556dd73a5…
2026-08-01 · MIXED Backfilled edition hash 11a8fa4cad4120f7ad61f7af…
2026-08-08 · CARRY Backfilled erratum correcting an earlier row edition hash cjson-v1:29b5145ba5f2f06…
2026-08-08 · NO TEST Backfilled superseded by erratum — founder ruling D1 2026-09-20: standing thesis with no dated test grades CARRY edition hash cjson-v1:29b5145ba5f2f06…
2026-08-22 · CARRY Backfilled erratum correcting an earlier row edition hash 557bf5ef55f5d1fb8c7a88bf…
2026-08-22 · NO TEST Backfilled superseded by erratum — founder ruling D1 2026-09-20: standing thesis with no dated test grades CARRY edition hash 557bf5ef55f5d1fb8c7a88bf…
2026-08-29 · NO TEST Backfilled superseded by erratum — founder ruling D1 2026-09-20: standing thesis with no dated test grades CARRY edition hash 15bd0390467e559c74c076f3…
2026-08-29 · CARRY Backfilled erratum correcting an earlier row edition hash 15bd0390467e559c74c076f3…
2026-09-05 · CARRY Backfilled erratum correcting an earlier row edition hash 3ad7e3fa56cf10ecb514d9f1…
2026-09-05 · NO TEST Backfilled superseded by erratum — founder ruling D1 2026-09-20: standing thesis with no dated test grades CARRY edition hash 3ad7e3fa56cf10ecb514d9f1…
2026-09-12 · CARRY Backfilled edition hash 6271a4889f18e60066663572…
2026-09-19 · CARRY Backfilled edition hash 4f554e02dd2769ad9cd297aa…
2026-10-03 · CARRY Backfilled edition hash 6cbb3f12f574ec962d2274d6…
This week · 0 events

No recorded events

Explore this week →

Coming up
Oct 30 · Earnings — context, not evidence
Verdict deadline · Verdict due March 2027 · 173 days out

Scheduled prints are context, never evidence — nothing here grades a thesis.

Arbiters
Arbitersdeadline verdict: realized-price / term-contracting check · 2027-03-31 · CCJ quarterly earnings print (realized price + contracting volume disclosures) · average realized uranium price declines y/y at a quarterly print AND term-contracting volume stalls · 0/2deadline verdict: realized-price / term-contracting check · 2027-03-31 · CCJ quarterly earnings print (realized price + contracting volume disclosures) · average realized uranium price declines y/y at a quarterly print AND term-contracting volume stalls · 0/2
Fresh tape
Fresh tape
Sep 30 · Press release · Cameco Acknowledges United States and Republic of Korea Announcement of…

Scheduled prints are context, never evidence — nothing here grades a thesis.

Tape
Tape

−0.84% since added to list · 2026-07-24 → 2026-10-08

2026-10-08 · 87.12

19/47 sessions with call — agreement, not judgment.

Newest sessions −0.1CCJ · 2026-09-25
close -0.06% — against call
called side: LONG since 2026-08-13
edition week of 2026-10-03 — sealed
Tape agreement only. TAPE ≠ VERDICT.
−1.2CCJ · 2026-09-28
close -1.17% — against call
called side: LONG since 2026-08-13
edition week of 2026-10-03 — sealed
Tape agreement only. TAPE ≠ VERDICT.
−0.2CCJ · 2026-09-29
close -0.18% — against call
called side: LONG since 2026-08-13
edition week of 2026-10-03 — sealed
Tape agreement only. TAPE ≠ VERDICT.
−0.2CCJ · 2026-09-30
close -0.24% — against call
called side: LONG since 2026-08-13
edition week of 2026-10-03 — sealed
Tape agreement only. TAPE ≠ VERDICT.
−1.1CCJ · 2026-10-01
close -1.13% — against call
called side: LONG since 2026-08-13
edition week of 2026-10-03 — sealed
Tape agreement only. TAPE ≠ VERDICT.
−0.6CCJ · 2026-10-02
close -0.60% — against call
called side: LONG since 2026-08-13
edition week of 2026-10-03 — sealed
Tape agreement only. TAPE ≠ VERDICT.
+2.7CCJ · 2026-10-05
close 2.69% — with call
called side: LONG since 2026-08-13
Tape agreement only. TAPE ≠ VERDICT.
+6.3CCJ · 2026-10-06
close 6.35% — with call
called side: LONG since 2026-08-13
Tape agreement only. TAPE ≠ VERDICT.
−4.2CCJ · 2026-10-07
close -4.25% — against call
called side: LONG since 2026-08-13
Tape agreement only. TAPE ≠ VERDICT.
−2.2CCJ · 2026-10-08
close -2.19% — against call
called side: LONG since 2026-08-13
Tape agreement only. TAPE ≠ VERDICT.

Daily close-to-close returns · Financial Modeling Prep end-of-day closes, automated daily ingest · newest session 2026-10-08.

TAPE ≠ VERDICT — tape agreement never grades a proposition and never derives an assessment.
Timeline lane
Timeline lane
MARKETT−21dearnings — context, not evidence
LOCK-DEADLINET−173dmust meet its test by 2027-03-31
ARBITERT−173ddeadline verdict: realized-price / term-contracting check · CCJ quarterly earnings print (realized price + contracting volume disclosures)
ARBITERT−173ddeadline verdict: realized-price / term-contracting check · CCJ quarterly earnings print (realized price + contracting volume disclosures)

Full lane on the time axis

Identity
Identity
Canonical tickerCCJFirst seen edition2026-07-25Registry stateactive
2026-07-25 → open · CCJ seeded from registry canonical_ticker — operator/MCP 2026-08-04 (open window; mechanical derivation, §ONTOLOGY: registry owns symbol history)
Divergence
Divergence

No divergence between the editorial and resolution layers on this name.

Open stacks

Held in 0 of 0 open member stacks.

The stacks hold the full record — stances are addresses, never advice.