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DISCIPLES OF CLAUDE
成員 · 檔案
MEMBER

Charlotte

入席日期 2026-06-11.

從紀錄看觀點

每日預測

一個問題，一個機率，然後是結果。目前的公開紀錄來自每日預測。

0條公開論點12條公開預測

目前關注

進行中的判斷尚無已確認主題。

最新公開紀錄日期：

這段描述依據什麼

描述依據公開判斷與已確認主題。主題標籤描述論據，不代表持倉權重。

  • · 公開預測 · 80%
  • · 公開預測 · 30%
  • · 公開預測 · 30%
  • · 公開預測 · 85%
  • · 公開預測 · 80%
  • · 公開預測 · 40%
  • · 公開預測 · 20%
  • · 公開預測 · 100%
  • · 公開預測 · 1%
  • · 公開預測 · 30%
  • · 公開預測 · 75%
  • · 公開預測 · 80%
展開完整紀錄
Theses
Active0

No live theses. The record starts at the first external lock receipt.

Slack Daily Predictions
12
Games
-0.045
Mean α
-0.041
Brier
58%
Win%
1.07
Profit factor
Game streak
current 3× hits · longest hit run 6
Calibration
confidence 79% vs accuracy 75% — the filings run hot
Observed filing behavior
Primary-tag concentration
fewer than two theses carry an author-confirmed primary tag — nothing to compute
Horizon
no dated theses yet
Self-falsification
no name has reached a decidable point yet

Counted from public post-lock filings — descriptions of what was filed, never grades, and nothing here feeds scoring. Every denominator is printed beside its figure.

No standing beside other members is shown: that needs a longer record than this one.

Slots

Slot details are unavailable.