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DISCIPLES OF CLAUDE
成员 · 档案
MEMBER

Charlotte

入席日期 2026-06-11.

从记录看观点

每日预测

一个问题,一个概率,然后是结果。目前的公开记录来自每日预测。

0条公开论点12条公开预测

当前关注

进行中的判断尚无已确认主题。

最新公开记录日期:

这段描述依据什么

描述依据公开判断与已确认主题。主题标签描述论据,不代表持仓权重。

  • · 公开预测 · 80%
  • · 公开预测 · 30%
  • · 公开预测 · 30%
  • · 公开预测 · 85%
  • · 公开预测 · 80%
  • · 公开预测 · 40%
  • · 公开预测 · 20%
  • · 公开预测 · 100%
  • · 公开预测 · 1%
  • · 公开预测 · 30%
  • · 公开预测 · 75%
  • · 公开预测 · 80%
展开完整记录
Theses
Active0

No live theses. The record starts at the first external lock receipt.

Slack Daily Predictions
12
Games
-0.045
Mean α
-0.041
Brier
58%
Win%
1.07
Profit factor
Game streak
current 3× hits · longest hit run 6
Calibration
confidence 79% vs accuracy 75% — the filings run hot
Observed filing behavior
Primary-tag concentration
fewer than two theses carry an author-confirmed primary tag — nothing to compute
Horizon
no dated theses yet
Self-falsification
no name has reached a decidable point yet

Counted from public post-lock filings — descriptions of what was filed, never grades, and nothing here feeds scoring. Every denominator is printed beside its figure.

No standing beside other members is shown: that needs a longer record than this one.

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