←Back to the book
DISCIPLES OF CLAUDE
Member · profile
MEMBER

Charlotte

On the desk since 2026-06-11.

A read of the record

The daily game

A question, a probability, then the result. So far, this public record lives in the daily game.

0public theses12public forecasts

Current focus

No confirmed themes on the active calls yet.

Latest dated public record:

Why this description

This description follows public calls and confirmed themes. Theme labels describe the arguments, not portfolio weights.

  • · Public forecast · 80%
  • · Public forecast · 30%
  • · Public forecast · 30%
  • · Public forecast · 85%
  • · Public forecast · 80%
  • · Public forecast · 40%
  • · Public forecast · 20%
  • · Public forecast · 100%
  • · Public forecast · 1%
  • · Public forecast · 30%
  • · Public forecast · 75%
  • · Public forecast · 80%
Open the full record
Theses
Active0

No live theses. The record starts at the first external lock receipt.

Slack Daily Predictions
12
Games
-0.045
Mean α
-0.041
Brier
58%
Win%
1.07
Profit factor
Game streak
current 3× hits · longest hit run 6
Calibration
confidence 79% vs accuracy 75% — the filings run hot
Observed filing behavior
Primary-tag concentration
fewer than two theses carry an author-confirmed primary tag — nothing to compute
Horizon
no dated theses yet
Self-falsification
no name has reached a decidable point yet

Counted from public post-lock filings — descriptions of what was filed, never grades, and nothing here feeds scoring. Every denominator is printed beside its figure.

No standing beside other members is shown: that needs a longer record than this one.

Slots

Slot details are unavailable.